Monday, January 24, 2011

Dollar Cost Average in Ugly Markets Version 2

As an update to my “Dollar Cost Averaging in Ugly Markets” post from earlier today, I updated the system slightly.  In this version, buy after a 55% drawdown 10% each month that is higher than the previous month.  The results from 1931-1937 in the Dow and 2009-2010 in the S&P 500 are shown below. 

There are certainly far better systems and methods, and I do not advise this as your method of entry, but sometimes it is nice and comforting to keep it very simple in the midst of panic.

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Of course, this all assumes that the investor exited in the first place at some point prior to the 55% drawdown.

 

1 hour

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